Venue: Level 1, 257
Presenters: Mr Alex Nauels
In order to assess future sea level rise and its societal impacts, we need to study climate change pathways combined with different scenarios of socioeconomic development.
The new scenario generation of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) allows to more directly link scenario-specific emission and socioeconomic indicators to sea level rise projections. Recently published findings indicate that year-2100 sea level rise could be limited to around 50cm if year-2050 CO2 emissions since pre-industrial times stay below around 850 GtC, coinciding with the global phase-out of coal.
In this lecture, sea level rise projections for SSP storylines and different year-2100 radiative forcing targets are presented based on a new sea level model. Results confirm that rapid and early emission reductions are essential for limiting sea level rise.
from
https://events.unimelb.edu.au/events/9586-linking-sea-level-rise-and-socioeconomic-indicators
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